Language:English
Ryan Gandra v Jose Daniel Medina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ryan Gandra (Local)
Prediction 85.17%1.17fair odd
EV -0.354%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%85.15%85.30%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.141.1790.91%88.21%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jose Daniel Medina (Visit)
Prediction 14.83%6.74fair odd
EV +11.24%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.194%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%14.85%14.70%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.106.007.5020.00%16.38%16.67%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ryan Gandra (Local): 85.17%; Jose Daniel Medina (Visit): 14.83%. For Jose Daniel Medina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.74. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.24%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +11.24%E +1.50%K +1.73%G +0.194% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.32%E -5.74%K -63.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +11.24%E +1.50%K +1.73%G +0.194% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 00:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.40%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.60%EV +4.57%E +0.648%K +0.755%G +0.035% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.32%E -5.74%K -63.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.83%E +0.547%K +0.638%G +0.024% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.61%E -4.12%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.119%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.119%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 00:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.25%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.75%EV -2.25%E -0.342%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 20:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.36%EV -3.76%E -3.33%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.64%EV -2.25%E -0.342%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 23:12 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.12%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.59%E -0.552%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 00:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.32%E -5.74%K -63.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.30%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:31 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.01%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 13:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -12.49%E -2.12%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -2.06%E -1.79%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -13.97%E -2.41%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 01:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -14.71%E -2.56%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 15:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -14.71%E -2.56%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.76%E -3.33%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.71%E -2.56%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -16.94%E -3.02%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -16.94%E -3.02%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.06%E -1.79%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -18.42%E -3.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.91%E -2.55%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.42%E -3.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.354%E -0.303%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -25.84%E -5.17%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.354%E -0.303%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -25.84%E -5.17%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.51% | 7.44I 13.44%NM 13.49% | -0.4% | 2026-03-01 00:37 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 00:38 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.20% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.80% | 1.5% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.65% | 7.81I 12.80%NM 12.35% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.92% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.24% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 15:35 |