Language:English
Roman Kopylov v Marco Tulio Silva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Roman Kopylov (Local)
Prediction 37.94%2.64fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.15%37.97%40.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.502.5741.67%39.95%40.00%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marco Tulio Silva (Visit)
Prediction 62.06%1.61fair odd
EV -0.076%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.125%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.85%61.85%62.03%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.6166.67%64.81%64.94%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Roman Kopylov (Local): 37.94%; Marco Tulio Silva (Visit): 62.06%. For Marco Tulio Silva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.611. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.610, with an expected value of -0.076%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.51%E -0.975%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.88%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.02%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 20:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 12:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 03:57 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 12:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 03:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 22:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 22:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -0.076%E -0.047%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 22:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.32%E -0.829%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.69I 37.17%NM 37.15% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.85% | 0.1% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 22:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 22:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 22:39 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |