The School of OddsRobert Whittaker v Nikita Krylov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Robert Whittaker (Local)
Prediction 53.46%1.87fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.50%53.63%56.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.801.8360%56%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Nikita Krylov (Visit)
Prediction 46.54%2.15fair odd
EV +2.39%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%46.50%46.37%48.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.022.2051%49%50%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.72%E -6.42%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.39%E +1.08%K +1.99%G +0.047% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.37%E -3.04%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 00:32 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.98%E -4.01%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.51%E -4.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.20%E -1.54%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.84%E -2.72%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.20%E -1.54%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.17%E -1.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.66%E -1.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.66%E -1.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.30%E -2.41%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.66%E -1.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 00:33 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.37%E -3.04%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.91%E -3.36%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:33 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.58%E -5.02%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -5.99%E -2.97%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.24%E -1.79%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.05%E -4.68%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| BetAnything | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.84%E -2.72%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.85%E -3.97%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.25%E -4.74%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 00:28 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 00:26 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.91% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 00:28 |