The School of OddsRobert Whittaker v Nikita Krylov
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Robert Whittaker (Local)
Odds
1.5365.36%Min
1.6062.60%Mean
1.5962.89%Median
1.6859.52%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.14%1.750Min
62.35%1.604Max
59.30%1.686Mean
58.99%1.695Median
59.13%1.691IQM
59.22%1.689Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.68 under the IQM model: 59.13%
EV -0.668%Edge -0.397%Kelly -0.982%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Nikita Krylov (Visit)
Odds
2.2045.45%Min
2.3542.54%Mean
2.3642.37%Median
2.5539.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.65%2.656Min
42.86%2.333Max
40.70%2.457Mean
41.01%2.439Median
40.87%2.447IQM
40.78%2.452Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.55 under the IQM model: 40.87%
EV +4.23%Edge +1.66%Kelly +2.73%Growth +0.115%
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Robert Whittaker (Local) | Nikita Krylov (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -13.08% E -8.90% K -27.84% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV +10.36% E +3.84% K +6.09% G +0.631% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94% NM 62.35%EV -8.95% E -5.81% K -16.57% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 37.65%EV +4.23% E +1.66% K +2.73% G +0.115% | 4.2% | 2026-07-02 20:20 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94% NM 62.35%EV -8.95% E -5.81% K -16.57% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 37.65%EV +4.23% E +1.66% K +2.73% G +0.115% | 4.2% | 2026-07-02 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -8.35% E -5.39% K -15.19% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV +0.140% E +0.057% K +0.097% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -5.99% E -3.77% K -10.15% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -1.90% E -0.793% K -1.36% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94% NM 60.91%EV -8.95% E -5.81% K -16.57% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.09%EV -1.90% E -0.793% K -1.36% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.59I 62.89% NM 59.95%EV -5.99% E -3.77% K -10.15% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 40.05%EV -2.72% E -1.14% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.10%EV -6.58% E -4.16% K -11.35% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.90%EV -2.72% E -1.14% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.10%EV -6.58% E -4.16% K -11.35% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.90%EV -2.72% E -1.14% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.10%EV -6.58% E -4.16% K -11.35% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.90%EV -2.72% E -1.14% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.17% E -4.57% K -12.58% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.72% E -1.14% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.17% E -4.57% K -12.58% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.72% E -1.14% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.17% E -4.57% K -12.58% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.72% E -1.14% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.17% E -4.57% K -12.58% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.72% E -1.14% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 12:44 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.17% E -4.57% K -12.58% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.72% E -1.14% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 12:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73% NM 59.30%EV -4.22% E -2.60% K -6.80% G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37% NM 40.70%EV -3.54% E -1.50% K -2.60% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.05%EV -7.17% E -4.57% K -12.58% G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37% NM 39.95%EV -3.54% E -1.50% K -2.60% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 03:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.44% E -1.48% K -3.76% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.95% E -1.68% K -2.92% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -4.22% E -2.60% K -6.80% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -3.95% E -1.68% K -2.92% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 03:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98% NM 58.79%EV -3.03% E -1.85% K -4.74% G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74% NM 41.21%EV -4.36% E -1.86% K -3.25% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36% NM 60.47%EV -9.54% E -6.23% K -17.99% G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74% NM 39.53%EV -4.36% E -1.86% K -3.25% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 03:40 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61% NM 58.54%EV -2.44% E -1.48% K -3.76% G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92% NM 41.46%EV -4.76% E -2.04% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-05 11:53 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35% NM 58.52%EV -3.62% E -2.22% K -5.75% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.48%EV -5.99% E -2.60% K -4.61% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 11:40 |
| 888sport | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.22% E -2.60% K -6.80% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.99% E -2.60% K -4.61% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 11:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.22% E -2.60% K -6.80% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.99% E -2.60% K -4.61% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 03:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.40% E -3.37% K -9.00% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.99% E -2.60% K -4.61% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52% NM 57.47%EV -0.668% E -0.397% K -0.982% G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05% NM 42.53%EV -7.22% E -3.18% K -5.68% G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 11:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -2.44% E -1.48% K -3.76% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -8.03% E -3.57% K -6.43% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 11:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.22% E -2.60% K -6.80% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -8.03% E -3.57% K -6.43% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 03:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.22% E -2.60% K -6.80% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -8.03% E -3.57% K -6.43% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 03:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -4.81% E -2.99% K -7.88% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -8.03% E -3.57% K -6.43% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -2.44% E -1.48% K -3.76% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -10.08% E -4.58% K -8.40% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Robert Whittaker (Local) | Nikita Krylov (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.75I 57.14% | 2.27I 44.05% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79% | 2.78I 35.97% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24% | 2.24I 44.64% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24% | 2.24I 44.64% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.66I 60.24% | 2.24I 44.64% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| Novig | 1.54I 64.94% | 2.44I 40.98% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.61I 62.11% | 2.28I 43.86% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10% | 2.36I 42.37% | 50.00I 2.00% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 03:40 |
Arbitrage (10 combinations)+1.28%BetOnline.ag 1.68 (60.3%) / NordicBet 2.55 (39.7%)Show all 10 combinations
| Robert Whittaker (Local) | Nikita Krylov (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag 1.68 (61.6%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (38.4%) | +3.56% |
| Coolbet 1.65 (62.1%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.9%) | +2.41% |
| Bovada 1.65 (62.1%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.9%) | +2.41% |
| BetAnything 1.65 (62.1%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.9%) | +2.41% |
| Unibet (UK) 1.65 (62.1%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.9%) | +2.41% |
| Pinnacle 1.64 (62.2%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.8%) | +2.03% |
| PointsBet (AU) 1.63 (62.4%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.6%) | +1.64% |
| BetOnline.ag 1.68 (60.3%) | NordicBet 2.55 (39.7%) | +1.28% |
| BetOnline.ag 1.68 (60.3%) | Betsson 2.55 (39.7%) | +1.28% |
| DraftKings 1.62 (62.5%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.5%) | +1.25% |
| Caesars 1.62 (62.5%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.5%) | +1.25% |
| 888sport 1.62 (62.5%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.5%) | +1.25% |
| Bet Right 1.62 (62.5%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.5%) | +1.25% |
| Paddy Power 1.62 (62.5%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.5%) | +1.25% |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 1.62 (62.5%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.5%) | +1.25% |
| Betr (AU) 1.61 (62.6%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.4%) | +0.858% |
| PlayUp 1.60 (62.8%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.2%) | +0.465% |
| Coolbet 1.65 (60.7%) | NordicBet 2.55 (39.3%) | +0.179% |
| Coolbet 1.65 (60.7%) | Betsson 2.55 (39.3%) | +0.179% |
| Bovada 1.65 (60.7%) | NordicBet 2.55 (39.3%) | +0.179% |
| Bovada 1.65 (60.7%) | Betsson 2.55 (39.3%) | +0.179% |
| BetAnything 1.65 (60.7%) | NordicBet 2.55 (39.3%) | +0.179% |
| BetAnything 1.65 (60.7%) | Betsson 2.55 (39.3%) | +0.179% |
| Unibet (UK) 1.65 (60.7%) | NordicBet 2.55 (39.3%) | +0.179% |
| Unibet (UK) 1.65 (60.7%) | Betsson 2.55 (39.3%) | +0.179% |
| Hard Rock Bet 1.59 (62.9%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.1%) | +0.070% |
| SportsBet 1.59 (62.9%) | LeoVegas 2.70 (37.1%) | +0.070% |