Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Robelis Despaigne v Tai Tuivasa

2026-09-10 00:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Robelis Despaigne (Local)

Prediction 79.42%1.26fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -3.22%
Kelly -18.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.42%79.42%79.42%79.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.211.211.2182.64%82.64%82.64%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tai Tuivasa (Visit)

Prediction 20.58%4.86fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.58%20.58%20.58%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.674.674.674.6721.41%21.41%21.41%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Robelis Despaigne (Local): 79.42%; Tai Tuivasa (Visit): 20.58%. For Tai Tuivasa (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.67, with an expected value of -3.90%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -3.90%E -3.22%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -3.90%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.