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RJ Harris v Alvin Hines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
RJ Harris (Local)
Prediction 48.99%2.04fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.04%48.96%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.972.0053.48%51.19%50.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alvin Hines (Visit)
Prediction 51.01%1.96fair odd
EV -0.535%
Edge -0.274%
Kelly -0.563%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.96%51.04%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.851.9555.56%53.85%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RJ Harris (Local): 48.99%; Alvin Hines (Visit): 51.01%. For Alvin Hines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.535%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 01:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 01:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 19:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 19:20 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 07:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.09%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 21:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.00%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.49%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.49%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.49%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.49%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.49%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.49%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Betsson | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.11%E -2.18%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 20:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.97%E -2.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.11%E -2.18%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 20:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 19:53 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.60%E -1.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 21:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.11%E -2.18%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 21:30 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 21:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 21:25 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 21:25 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.535%E -0.274%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 21:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 21:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.88% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.12% | -0.1% | 2026-07-18 21:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-07-18 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 21:30 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 20:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 21:30 |
| ProphetX | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02% | 1.6% | 2026-07-18 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 1.8% | 2026-07-18 21:30 |
| Novig | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 21:30 |