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Rizvan Kuniev v Tyrell Fortune
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rizvan Kuniev (Local)
Prediction 73.66%1.36fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -8.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.55%73.69%73.68%75.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.301.3280.00%77.24%76.92%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tyrell Fortune (Visit)
Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +0.701%
Kelly +0.943%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.56%26.31%26.32%28.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.543.9030.77%28.08%28.25%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rizvan Kuniev (Local): 73.66%; Tyrell Fortune (Visit): 26.34%. For Tyrell Fortune (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +2.73%E +0.701%K +0.943%G +0.026% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 14:37 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.00%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV +1.15%E +0.300%K +0.406%G +0.005% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.00%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV +1.15%E +0.300%K +0.406%G +0.005% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.26%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.74%EV -0.427%E -0.113%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-25 16:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.53%E -0.685%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-25 16:35 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.53%E -0.685%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 02:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -3.59%E -0.980%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 08:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.85%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-24 16:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.85%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28%EV -2.77%E -2.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72%EV -4.64%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 16:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 11:10 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 15:55 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-24 04:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-24 14:00 |
| Fliff | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.93%E -6.34%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 16:05 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -2.77%E -2.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -6.75%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-22 15:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 08:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.24%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 08:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -2.77%E -2.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -12.54%E -3.78%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -14.39%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -7.19%E -5.71%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -14.39%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.28% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.72% | -0.1% | 2026-07-25 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 16:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 16:40 |
| Novig | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 16:29 |
| ProphetX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 16:25 |
| Polymarket | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 16:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-07-25 16:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.40% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.73% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 16:29 |