The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Rhys McKee v Alex Lohore

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 23:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhys McKee (Local)

Prediction 75.60%1.32fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -5.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.78%75.60%75.90%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.291.3080.65%78.28%77.52%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alex Lohore (Visit)

Prediction 24.40%4.10fair odd
EV +0.048%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.015%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.40%24.10%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.673.454.1028.99%27.27%28.99%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rhys McKee (Local): 75.60%; Alex Lohore (Visit): 24.40%. For Alex Lohore (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.098. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.048%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -22.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.048%E +0.012%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.39%E -0.598%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.26%E -5.05%K -26.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.39%E -0.598%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 22:45
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.26%E -5.05%K -26.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.39%E -0.598%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -1.72%E -1.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -2.48%E -1.92%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -15.81%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -2.48%E -1.92%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -15.81%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 15:09
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -2.48%E -1.92%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -15.81%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -2.48%E -1.92%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -15.81%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -2.48%E -1.92%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -15.81%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 15:10
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -2.48%E -1.92%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -15.81%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 15:10
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -2.48%E -1.92%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -15.81%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.