Language:English
Raul Rosas Jr v Rob Font
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raul Rosas Jr (Local)
Prediction 72.44%1.38fair odd
EV +6.48%
Edge +4.41%
Kelly +13.79%
Growth +0.893%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.75%72.35%72.61%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.301.4778.74%75.67%76.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rob Font (Visit)
Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +0.898%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%27.65%27.39%35.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.403.503.7537.04%29.38%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raul Rosas Jr (Local): 72.44%; Rob Font (Visit): 27.56%. For Raul Rosas Jr (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.38. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.48%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV +6.48%E +4.41%K +13.79%G +0.893% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -25.57%E -9.47%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV +6.48%E +4.41%K +13.79%G +0.893% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -25.57%E -9.47%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -0.764%E -0.558%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -11.79%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -0.764%E -0.558%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -11.79%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -1.49%E -1.09%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -9.59%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 23:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.49%E -1.09%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV +0.061%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 03:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.39%E -3.32%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.14%E -0.604%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 02:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.39%E -3.32%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.39%E -3.32%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.39%E -3.32%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.39%E -3.32%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.39%E -3.32%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 03:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.39%E -3.32%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 23:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -13.17%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +3.37%E +0.898%K +1.22%G +0.041% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 03:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -2.97%E -0.844%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.08%EV -12.62%E -3.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 03:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.612%E +0.168%K +0.231%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:32 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.01%E -6.31%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.37%E +0.898%K +1.22%G +0.041% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.64% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.36% | -0.2% | 2026-03-08 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 02:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 03:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 03:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.64% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.19% | 43.00I 2.33%NM 2.17% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 02:40 |