Language:English
Raul Rosas Jr v Raoni Barcelos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raul Rosas Jr (Local)
Prediction 57.34%1.74fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.64%57.29%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.651.651.7066.67%60.76%60.79%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Raoni Barcelos (Visit)
Prediction 42.66%2.34fair odd
EV +6.65%
Edge +2.66%
Kelly +4.43%
Growth +0.295%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%42.36%42.71%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.242.252.5048.54%44.61%44.44%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raul Rosas Jr (Local): 57.34%; Raoni Barcelos (Visit): 42.66%. For Raoni Barcelos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.65%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -10.55%E -6.76%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +6.65%E +2.66%K +4.43%G +0.295% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -12.27%E -8.02%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +4.52%E +1.84%K +3.12%G +0.141% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.88%E -0.817%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 16:11 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.88%E -0.817%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 02:06 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-27 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 02:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 02:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 11:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 11:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 01:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 20:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 02:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -13.99%E -9.33%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.13%EV -12.12%E -5.88%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69% | -0.1% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75% | 0.4% | 2026-09-27 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.5% | 2026-09-27 02:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:44 |