Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Raufeon Stots v Lazaro Dayron

2026-07-31 23:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

38%

62%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Raufeon Stots (Local)

Prediction 38.44%2.60fair odd

EV -5.82%

Edge -2.37%

Kelly -4.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.44%38.44%38.44%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.452.452.452.4540.82%40.82%40.82%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lazaro Dayron (Visit)

Prediction 61.56%1.62fair odd

EV -5.82%

Edge -3.80%

Kelly -10.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.56%61.56%61.56%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.531.531.5365.36%65.36%65.36%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.82%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-29 00:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.