Language:English
Ramiz Brahimaj v Punahele Soriano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ramiz Brahimaj (Local)
Prediction 44.89%2.23fair odd
EV +0.995%
Edge +0.442%
Kelly +0.796%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%45.12%45.10%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.082.052.2552.36%48.02%48.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Punahele Soriano (Visit)
Prediction 55.11%1.81fair odd
EV +5.27%
Edge +2.76%
Kelly +5.79%
Growth +0.305%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%54.88%54.90%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.771.9159.17%56.90%56.66%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ramiz Brahimaj (Local): 44.89%; Punahele Soriano (Visit): 55.11%. For Punahele Soriano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.27%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.27%E +2.76%K +5.79%G +0.305% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 07:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.306%E +0.168%K +0.373%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.306%E +0.168%K +0.373%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.796%E -0.442%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -13.37%E -6.93%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -1.90%E -1.07%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -3.04%E -1.41%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -2.45%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-02-21 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.45%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.45%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.84%E -2.28%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.00%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.00%E -1.71%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.55%E -2.03%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 20:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.10%E -2.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.65%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.65%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.65%E -2.69%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.25%E -0.568%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 22:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.15%E -0.985%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.76%E -3.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 20:51 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.25%E -0.568%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.25%E -0.568%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.31%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.995%E +0.442%K +0.796%G +0.008% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.351%E -0.158%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.25%E -0.568%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.25%E -0.568%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.15%E -0.985%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76% | 0.1% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.31% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |