Rafał Haratyk v Bartosz Leśko

2026-07-18 16:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Rafał Haratyk (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -63.29%

Kelly -172.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.07%0.00%0.00%59.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.571.581.581.5864%63%63%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Bartosz Leśko (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -43.86%

Kelly -78.13%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.78%0.00%0.00%40.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.282.282.282.2844%44%44%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%	7.2%	2026-07-16 13:30
Grosvenor	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%	7.6%	2026-07-16 13:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.