Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rabindra Dhant v Kasib Murdoch

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 11:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

35%

65%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rabindra Dhant (Local)

Prediction 34.98%2.86fair odd

EV -3.12%

Edge -1.12%

Kelly -1.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.83%34.98%34.98%48.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.902.532.732.7752.63%39.53%36.70%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kasib Murdoch (Visit)

Prediction 65.02%1.54fair odd

EV +15.09%

Edge +8.53%

Kelly +19.60%

Growth +2.96%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.77%65.02%65.02%65.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.471.561.491.7768.03%64.31%67.11%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rabindra Dhant (Local): 34.98%; Kasib Murdoch (Visit): 65.02%. For Kasib Murdoch (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%EV -33.54%E -17.66%K -37.27%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV +15.09%E +8.53%K +19.60%G +2.96%	9.1%	2026-08-28 11:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.12%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.12%E -2.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-28 11:09
BetAnything🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.12%E -2.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-28 11:10
Bovada🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.42%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-28 09:36

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.