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Pouya Rahmani v Oleg Popov

2026-11-14 17:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pouya Rahmani (Local)

Prediction 62.70%1.60fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -7.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.99%62.70%62.70%63.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.471.471.5370.92%68.03%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oleg Popov (Visit)

Prediction 37.30%2.68fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.693%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.60%37.30%37.30%38.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.472.6543.48%40.40%40.40%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pouya Rahmani (Local): 62.70%; Oleg Popov (Visit): 37.30%. For Oleg Popov (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.65, with an expected value of -1.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-10 02:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.99%EV -11.60%E -8.23%K -28.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01%EV -14.20%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-10 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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