Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Piotr Kuberski v Michal Michalski

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Piotr Kuberski (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -79.37%
Kelly -384.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.60%0.00%0.00%74.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.261.261.2679.37%79.37%79.37%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michal Michalski (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -27.03%
Kelly -37.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%0.00%0.00%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.703.703.7027.03%27.03%27.03%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Piotr Kuberski (Local): 0.00%; Michal Michalski (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%6.4%2026-05-16 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%6.4%2026-05-16 16:15
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%6.4%2026-05-16 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.