The School of Odds

Patrik Šebek v Altin Zenuni

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Patrik Šebek 0–1 Altin Zenuni

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Patrik Šebek (Local)

Prediction 19.09%5.24fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%19.09%19.09%19.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.005.005.005.0020.00%20.00%20.00%20.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Altin Zenuni (Visit)

Prediction 80.91%1.24fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -3.84%
Kelly -25.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.91%80.91%80.91%80.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.181.181.181.1884.75%84.75%84.75%84.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.53%E -0.906%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.53%E -3.84%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.