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Patricio Pitbull v Dooho Choi
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Patricio Pitbull (Local)
Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV +4.54%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.54%30.83%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.073.053.4036.36%32.60%32.79%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dooho Choi (Visit)
Prediction 69.25%1.44fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -7.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%69.46%69.17%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.371.381.4078.74%72.93%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Patricio Pitbull (Local): 30.75%; Dooho Choi (Visit): 69.25%. For Patricio Pitbull (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.54%E +1.34%K +1.89%G +0.086% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.89%E -5.93%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 01:57 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV -0.688%E -0.213%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -3.74%E -2.69%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 02:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.12%E -3.74%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.51%E -4.82%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.74%E -2.69%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.74%E -2.69%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 02:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -5.12%E -3.74%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 01:52 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.74%E -2.69%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 01:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.12%E -3.74%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.43%E -3.21%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 02:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -8.68%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -7.20%E -5.37%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-19 20:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.45%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 01:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.45%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 01:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.59%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.41%EV -12.05%E -9.49%K -44.62%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 02:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 1.9% | 2026-09-20 01:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 02:25 |