The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Otari Tanzilovi v Shane Collins

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 21:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Otari Tanzilovi (Local)

Prediction 34.26%2.92fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%34.20%34.27%35.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.772.762.8537.04%36.15%36.17%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shane Collins (Visit)

Prediction 65.74%1.52fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -5.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.90%65.80%65.73%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.451.451.4870.42%68.90%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Otari Tanzilovi (Local): 34.26%; Shane Collins (Visit): 65.74%. For Otari Tanzilovi (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -2.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.35%E -0.825%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 21:00
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.35%E -0.825%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 21:00
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.35%E -0.825%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 21:00
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.35%E -0.825%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.35%E -0.825%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 21:00
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.38%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.71%E -1.83%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-20 20:40
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.06%E -1.45%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.71%E -1.83%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.06%E -1.45%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.37%E -2.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 00:49
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.06%E -1.45%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.02%E -2.76%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.06%E -1.45%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 19:19
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.06%E -1.45%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 20:59
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.06%E -1.45%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 19:59
SportsBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 19:49
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.75%E -1.71%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.37%E -2.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 20:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.78%E -2.10%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:29
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.78%E -2.10%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.78%E -2.10%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 02:19
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.78%E -2.10%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 07:59
Bet Right🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.81%E -2.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.02%E -2.76%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.49%E -2.77%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.02%E -2.76%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.49%E -2.77%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.02%E -2.76%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 20:39
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.49%E -2.77%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.02%E -2.76%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 20:39
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.49%E -2.77%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 20:39
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.49%E -2.77%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 20:39
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.49%E -2.77%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 20:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.49%E -2.77%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 20:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.49%E -2.77%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 20:39
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.49%E -2.77%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.68%E -3.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 21:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.33%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.67%0.0%2026-06-20 20:59
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-06-20 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-20 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%1.2%2026-06-20 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%1.2%2026-06-20 21:00
ProphetX◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%1.5%2026-06-20 21:00
Novig◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-06-20 20:59
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-06-20 21:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84%8.5%2026-06-18 13:39