The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Ode Osbourne v Cody Durden

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 01:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ode Osbourne (Local)

Prediction 47.43%2.11fair odd
EV -0.407%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.370%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%47.42%47.37%48.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.992.002.1055.87%50.37%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cody Durden (Visit)

Prediction 52.57%1.90fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.17%52.58%52.63%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.811.8859.17%55.31%55.25%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ode Osbourne (Local): 47.43%; Cody Durden (Visit): 52.57%. For Ode Osbourne (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.407%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.407%E -0.194%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.94%E -3.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 23:56
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.407%E -0.194%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 00:55
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -0.881%E -0.422%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-01 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.83%E -0.884%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 01:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-01 00:40
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-01 01:05
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-01 00:59
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.84%E -2.67%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-01 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.84%E -2.67%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 01:00
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 21:20
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 07:35
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 07:35
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 23:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-29 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 23:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-29 11:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 23:55
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 21:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 07:35
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 07:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 07:34
NordicBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -1.16%E -0.617%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-28 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.84%E -2.67%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 11:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -7.05%E -3.60%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%EV -7.05%E -3.60%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.70%EV -11.15%E -6.60%K -16.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 11:55
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 11:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 16:10
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 00:25
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.47%E -4.24%K -9.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 11:09
Betsson🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 05:44
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 11:55
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 11:54
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 11:55
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%EV -15.11%E -8.44%K -19.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29%EV -10.62%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-30 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-11-01 01:05
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-11-01 01:00
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-11-01 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-11-01 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-11-01 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-11-01 01:05
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-11-01 01:05
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%3.8%2026-11-01 00:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.26%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.88%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86%7.4%2026-11-01 00:35

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.