The School of Odds
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Nyamjargal Tumendemberel v Cody Durden

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 00:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Local)

Prediction 63.93%1.56fair odd
EV +0.375%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.658%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%63.77%64.01%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.511.5768.97%66.26%66.23%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cody Durden (Visit)

Prediction 36.07%2.77fair odd
EV -0.816%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.466%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%36.23%35.99%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.592.552.7542.02%38.59%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Local): 63.93%; Cody Durden (Visit): 36.07%. For Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.375%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +0.375%E +0.239%K +0.658%G +0.002%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -14.16%E -5.95%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -0.904%E -0.583%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -9.11%E -3.62%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:22
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 22:45
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 22:54
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -1.18%E -0.429%K -0.676%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 23:30
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:54
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:45
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:44
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:54
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:24
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 00:04
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:14
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 22:59
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.816%E -0.297%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 22:59
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:48
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:09
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.816%E -0.297%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%0.0%2026-03-08 00:02
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-03-08 00:04
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-03-08 00:04
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-03-08 00:05
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-08 00:04

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.19%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.96%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85%8.3%2026-03-07 21:34