Language:English
Nursultan Ruziboev v Andrey Pulyaev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nursultan Ruziboev (Local)
Prediction 61.81%1.62fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%62.40%61.58%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.541.561.5969.93%64.91%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrey Pulyaev (Visit)
Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV +8.85%
Edge +3.11%
Kelly +4.79%
Growth +0.424%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%37.60%38.42%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.502.462.8542.02%39.92%40.73%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nursultan Ruziboev (Local): 61.81%; Andrey Pulyaev (Visit): 38.19%. For Andrey Pulyaev (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.85%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +8.85%E +3.11%K +4.79%G +0.424% | 4.5% | 2026-06-27 12:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +8.85%E +3.11%K +4.79%G +0.424% | 4.5% | 2026-06-27 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.03%E +1.83%K +2.88%G +0.145% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -11.62%E -8.12%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +5.03%E +1.83%K +2.88%G +0.145% | 6.3% | 2026-06-27 05:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.84%E -0.717%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-27 14:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.05%E -3.98%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.05%E -3.98%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.99%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-27 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 13:27 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 13:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.28%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 14:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-27 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 14:48 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -7.57%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 14:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 14:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21% | -0.1% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97% | 0.1% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35% | 3.0% | 2026-06-27 14:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.44% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 11:49 |