Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 3.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norma Dumont (Local): 66.47%; Joselyne Edwards (Visit): 33.53%. For Joselyne Edwards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.597%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.597%E +0.199%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.597%E +0.199%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.597%E +0.199%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.597%E +0.199%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.597%E +0.199%K +0.298%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.41%E -0.481%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -1.75%E -0.597%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 02:36 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.62%E -3.95%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.62%E -3.95%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.62%E -3.95%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.62%E -3.95%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.76%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 02:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 10:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.43%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.62%E -3.95%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.43%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 06:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.43%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.63%E -1.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.95%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.63%E -1.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.63%E -1.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -7.61%E -5.47%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -1.63%E -1.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -8.12%E -2.96%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -0.963%E -0.646%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.62%E -2.50%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -0.298%E -0.199%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -11.81%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 01:20 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.11% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |