Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nina Milošević v Hailey Cowan

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 14:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nina Milošević (Local)

Prediction 80.62%1.24fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -7.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%80.84%80.59%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.181.181.2289.29%84.90%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hailey Cowan (Visit)

Prediction 19.38%5.16fair odd
EV +25.96%
Edge +3.99%
Kelly +4.72%
Growth +1.23%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%19.16%19.41%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.994.906.5023.81%20.03%20.41%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nina Milošević (Local): 80.62%; Hailey Cowan (Visit): 19.38%. For Hailey Cowan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -9.70%E -8.66%K -80.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +25.96%E +3.99%K +4.72%G +1.23%4.7%2026-08-01 14:39
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -9.70%E -8.66%K -80.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +25.96%E +3.99%K +4.72%G +1.23%4.7%2026-08-01 14:40
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.67%E -4.85%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.71%E +0.510%K +0.629%G +0.017%4.3%2026-08-01 14:38
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.67%E -4.85%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.71%E +0.510%K +0.629%G +0.017%4.3%2026-08-01 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.48%E -5.59%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.71%E +0.510%K +0.629%G +0.017%5.1%2026-08-01 14:40
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.48%E -5.59%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.17%E -0.229%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.06%E -3.41%K -21.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.11%E -0.622%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.11%E -0.622%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.11%E -0.622%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.11%E -0.622%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 14:04
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.11%E -0.622%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 09:05
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.67%E -4.85%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.11%E -0.622%K -0.777%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.67%E -4.85%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.11%E -0.622%K -0.777%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 14:40
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.88%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.12%EV -3.30%E -0.662%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 14:40
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:04
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.87%E -4.12%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 14:05
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.16%EV -2.45%E -2.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.84%EV -5.24%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-01 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.25%E -2.71%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -6.01%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.67%E -4.85%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.01%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 00:05
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.25%E -2.71%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 13:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.25%E -2.71%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 14:43
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.06%E -3.41%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 09:45
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.28%EV -8.90%E -7.87%K -68.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 14:04
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.64%E -1.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -12.80%E -2.84%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 14:34
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.25%E -2.71%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.80%E -2.84%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 17:50
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.25%E -2.71%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.61%E -4.43%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.20I 83.33%NM 83.56%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.44%-0.3%2026-08-01 14:39
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 82.01%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99%-0.0%2026-08-01 14:40
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-08-01 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-08-01 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-08-01 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-08-01 14:40
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 80.26%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.74%3.8%2026-08-01 14:40
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%3.8%2026-08-01 14:40

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