Language:English
Nikolay Veretennikov v Khaos Williams
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nikolay Veretennikov (Local)
Prediction 48.25%2.07fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.48%48.27%47.97%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.992.002.0554.05%50.38%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Khaos Williams (Visit)
Prediction 51.75%1.93fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%51.73%52.03%53.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.831.811.9156.82%54.75%55.25%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nikolay Veretennikov (Local): 48.25%; Khaos Williams (Visit): 51.75%. For Nikolay Veretennikov (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.09%E -0.532%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 00:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.09%E -0.532%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.09%E -0.532%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.30%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.30%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 20:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.37%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.37%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.37%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.37%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.37%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.37%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.30%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 03:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 03:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -1.16%E -0.605%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-17 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.30%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 18:27 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.88%E -3.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.16%E -0.605%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.16%E -0.605%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 23:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.33%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.67%E -0.881%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -2.71%E -1.44%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50% | 0.0% | 2026-05-17 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 00:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 00:01 |