The School of Odds
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Nikola Jankovic v Tamerlan Dulatov

2026-09-26 10:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nikola Jankovic (Local)

Prediction 8.71%11.48fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.415%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%8.71%8.71%9.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0010.3810.2511.0010.00%9.64%9.76%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tamerlan Dulatov (Visit)

Prediction 91.29%1.10fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -3.95%
Kelly -82.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.50%91.29%91.29%91.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.051.051.0595.24%95.24%95.24%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nikola Jankovic (Local): 8.71%; Tamerlan Dulatov (Visit): 91.29%. For Nikola Jankovic (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.48. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 11.00, with an expected value of -4.15%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.15%E -0.377%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 16:04
ReBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -8.51%E -0.810%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 16:04
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.86%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 16:05
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.86%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.