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Nika Sabanashvili v Artur Gadzhikhanov

2026-08-21 23:30 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nika Sabanashvili (Local)

Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%21.33%21.33%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.304.204.5023.81%23.26%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Artur Gadzhikhanov (Visit)

Prediction 78.67%1.27fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -3.30%
Kelly -18.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%78.67%78.67%78.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.211.201.2283.33%82.87%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nika Sabanashvili (Local): 21.33%; Artur Gadzhikhanov (Visit): 78.67%. For Artur Gadzhikhanov (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.22, with an expected value of -4.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 03:56
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 03:59
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 03:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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