The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nick Galanti v Carlos Petruzzella

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 23:18 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nick Galanti (Local)

Prediction 65.99%1.52fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.01%65.99%65.89%67.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.421.4871.43%69.88%70.18%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carlos Petruzzella (Visit)

Prediction 34.01%2.94fair odd
EV +0.325%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.166%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.18%34.01%34.11%34.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.842.812.9537.04%35.21%35.59%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nick Galanti (Local): 65.99%; Carlos Petruzzella (Visit): 34.01%. For Carlos Petruzzella (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.325%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.325%E +0.110%K +0.166%G +0.001%5.3%2026-08-25 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.325%E +0.110%K +0.166%G +0.001%5.3%2026-08-25 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.325%E +0.110%K +0.166%G +0.001%5.3%2026-08-25 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.06%E -0.714%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 22:49
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.10%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.33%E -1.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.78%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-25 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.78%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 23:09
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.78%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 20:49
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.33%E -1.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.48%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 22:28
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.18%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 21:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%0.0%2026-08-25 23:13
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-08-25 23:14
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-25 23:14