Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nick Galanti v Carlos Petruzzella

2026-08-25 23:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

68%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nick Galanti (Local)

Prediction 68.13%1.47fair odd

EV -1.89%

Edge -1.31%

Kelly -4.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.82%68.15%68.13%69.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.381.381.4474.63%72.36%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carlos Petruzzella (Visit)

Prediction 31.87%3.14fair odd

EV -1.21%

Edge -0.391%

Kelly -0.578%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.34%31.85%31.87%33.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.792.962.923.1035.84%33.78%34.25%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nick Galanti (Local): 68.13%; Carlos Petruzzella (Visit): 31.87%. For Carlos Petruzzella (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -1.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.29%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-24 14:09
FanDuel🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -6.31%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-24 06:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%	3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.17%E -0.706%K -1.05%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-24 06:11
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-24 11:54
Unibet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-24 13:54
Grosvenor🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-24 13:54
TABtouch🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-24 13:53
BetMGM🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.21%E -0.391%K -0.578%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-24 11:54
TAB🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.91%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.21%E -0.391%K -0.578%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-24 06:13
ReBet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 67.55%EV -8.70%E -6.49%K -25.59%G +0.000%	2.79I 35.84%NM 32.45%EV -11.09%E -3.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-08-24 06:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%	4.4%	2026-08-24 13:34
ProphetX◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%	5.9%	2026-08-24 14:04