Language:English
Neil Magny v Ramiz Brahimaj
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Neil Magny (Local)
Prediction 42.75%2.34fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%42.77%42.60%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.212.202.3048.54%45.16%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ramiz Brahimaj (Visit)
Prediction 57.25%1.75fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.23%57.40%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.671.7162.50%60.08%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Neil Magny (Local): 42.75%; Ramiz Brahimaj (Visit): 57.25%. For Neil Magny (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -1.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.66%E -0.724%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:07 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.66%E -0.724%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.95%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 22:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.95%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.40%E -2.63%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.95%E -1.30%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.12%E -3.73%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.40%E -2.63%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.40%E -2.63%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 21:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 14:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.12%E -3.73%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 16:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -4.23%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -5.51%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.26%E -1.93%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.40%E -2.63%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.97%E -3.00%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.79%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.79%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.79%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:02 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.79%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.79%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.79%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.79%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.79%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.26%E -1.93%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.50%E -3.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.69%E -4.10%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -11.93%E -5.79%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.28%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 22:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 22:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.54% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |