Language:English
Nazim Sadykhov v Matheus Camilo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nazim Sadykhov (Local)
Prediction 63.03%1.59fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.99%63.11%63.18%65.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.511.5668.97%66.19%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Matheus Camilo (Visit)
Prediction 36.97%2.70fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.605%
Kelly +0.951%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.68%36.89%36.82%38.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.582.552.7541.15%38.80%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nazim Sadykhov (Local): 63.03%; Matheus Camilo (Visit): 36.97%. For Matheus Camilo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +1.66%E +0.605%K +0.951%G +0.016% | 4.9% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +1.66%E +0.605%K +0.951%G +0.016% | 4.9% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.185%E -0.068%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 17:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.185%E -0.068%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.29%E -0.485%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.66%E -0.625%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-27 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-27 17:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-27 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-27 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 12:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 05:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.88%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-27 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.62%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 17:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.67%E -1.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-27 16:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 17:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 17:38 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.64%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.73%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.93%E -1.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-27 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -6.10%E -2.40%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 11:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -10.17%E -4.18%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-27 17:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-06-27 17:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-06-27 17:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36% | 2.5% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36% | 2.5% | 2026-06-27 17:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.32% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.81% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 17:29 |