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Navajo Stirling v Ion Cutelaba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Navajo Stirling (Local)
Prediction 74.09%1.35fair odd
EV +21.50%
Edge +13.11%
Kelly +33.60%
Growth +7.22%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.19%72.55%75.20%78.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.311.281.6484.75%76.44%78.13%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ion Cutelaba (Visit)
Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd
EV +12.21%
Edge +2.82%
Kelly +3.67%
Growth +0.448%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%27.45%24.80%45.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.943.483.524.3351.55%28.75%28.37%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Navajo Stirling (Local): 74.09%; Ion Cutelaba (Visit): 25.91%. For Navajo Stirling (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.35. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.50%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.19%EV +21.50%E +13.11%K +33.60%G +7.22% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.81%EV -49.73%E -25.63%K -52.90%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-21 01:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV +20.02%E +12.36%K +32.29%G +6.46% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -44.28%E -20.60%K -38.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV +14.09%E +9.15%K +26.10%G +3.68% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -39.62%E -17.00%K -29.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +2.24%E +1.62%K +5.89%G +0.132% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -24.85%E -8.57%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV +2.24%E +1.62%K +5.89%G +0.132% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -27.44%E -9.80%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +0.757%E +0.557%K +2.10%G +0.016% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -19.67%E -6.34%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.757%E +0.557%K +2.10%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -22.26%E -7.42%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 01:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +0.757%E +0.557%K +2.10%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -22.26%E -7.42%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 01:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV +0.016%E +0.012%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -28.74%E -10.45%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-21 01:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -0.725%E -0.541%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -19.67%E -6.34%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 01:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.16%EV -2.21%E -1.67%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -30.03%E -11.12%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-21 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -2.95%E -2.25%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-16 15:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-21 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.43%E -3.43%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 12:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.43%E -3.43%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 01:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.06%E +0.273%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 01:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 01:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-21 01:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-21 01:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +6.25%E +1.52%K +2.02%G +0.126% | 3.1% | 2026-06-21 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.231%E -0.060%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 01:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV +5.99%E +1.46%K +1.94%G +0.116% | 4.4% | 2026-06-21 01:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 01:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 01:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.13%E -6.56%K -33.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.25%E +1.52%K +2.02%G +0.126% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +8.84%E +2.10%K +2.76%G +0.244% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 01:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.62%E -7.88%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +6.25%E +1.52%K +2.02%G +0.126% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 01:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.62%E -7.88%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 01:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.62%E -7.88%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 01:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.99%EV -10.36%E -8.56%K -49.31%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.01%EV -0.749%E -0.196%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 01:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -12.58%E -10.66%K -69.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV +12.21%E +2.82%K +3.67%G +0.448% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 01:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -12.58%E -10.66%K -69.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV +12.21%E +2.82%K +3.67%G +0.448% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 01:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.50% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 19.50% | 0.2% | 2026-06-21 01:19 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-06-21 01:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-06-21 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59% | 4.0% | 2026-06-21 01:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95% | 4.4% | 2026-06-21 01:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05% | 9.1% | 2026-06-21 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02% | 10.8% | 2026-06-21 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74% | 12.3% | 2026-06-21 01:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 12:39 |