Language:English
Navajo Stirling v Bruno Lopes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Navajo Stirling (Local)
Prediction 82.99%1.20fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -6.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.78%82.80%83.15%84.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.151.151.1988.50%86.75%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bruno Lopes (Visit)
Prediction 17.01%5.88fair odd
EV +5.45%
Edge +0.879%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.42%17.20%16.85%19.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.955.615.806.2020.20%17.83%17.24%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Navajo Stirling (Local): 82.99%; Bruno Lopes (Visit): 17.01%. For Bruno Lopes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.88. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.45%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -6.22%E -5.50%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +5.45%E +0.879%K +1.05%G +0.057% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -6.22%E -5.50%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +5.45%E +0.879%K +1.05%G +0.057% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 12:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +2.05%E +0.341%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 12:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.346%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 20:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -3.73%E -3.21%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV +0.176%E +0.030%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 21:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 21:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 11:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.20%E -0.383%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 17:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.22%E -5.50%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.20%E -0.383%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.76%E -0.849%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 21:16 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.76%E -0.849%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.76%E -0.849%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.46%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.56%E -3.96%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.46%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.46%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.46%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -2.90%E -2.48%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -9.86%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.73%E -3.21%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.86%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.73%E -3.21%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.86%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -2.07%E -1.75%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -11.56%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -1.24%E -1.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -14.96%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.07%E -1.75%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -14.96%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.90%E -2.48%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.96%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 15:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.90%E -2.48%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.96%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 15:53 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.96%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -2.90%E -2.48%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -15.81%E -3.19%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.73% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 15.27% | 0.0% | 2026-03-26 03:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.84% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.16% | 2.8% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.14% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.51% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 13:24 |