The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Natan Schulte v Makkasharip Zaynukov

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 22:30 UTC

Final: Natan Schulte 1–0 Makkasharip Zaynukov

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Natan Schulte (Local)

Prediction 38.37%2.61fair odd
EV -0.634%
Edge -0.245%
Kelly -0.399%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.14%38.37%38.37%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.512.5941.67%39.92%39.76%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Makkasharip Zaynukov (Visit)

Prediction 61.63%1.62fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -5.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%61.63%61.63%62.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.551.561.5765.36%64.41%64.31%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Natan Schulte (Local): 38.37%; Makkasharip Zaynukov (Visit): 61.63%. For Natan Schulte (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.59, with an expected value of -0.634%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -0.634%E -0.245%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -5.70%E -3.72%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.40%E -0.545%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 22:03
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.