Language:English
Natalia Silva v Wang Cong
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Natalia Silva (Local)
Prediction 63.44%1.58fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.76%63.46%63.41%65.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.501.491.5673.53%66.77%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wang Cong (Visit)
Prediction 36.56%2.74fair odd
EV +0.534%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.305%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%36.54%36.59%38.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.602.632.7542.02%38.45%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Natalia Silva (Local): 63.44%; Wang Cong (Visit): 36.56%. For Wang Cong (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.534%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.534%E +0.194%K +0.305%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 01:42 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.29%E -0.479%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-21 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.29%E -0.479%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-21 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.37%E -5.05%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.37%E -5.05%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 18:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.84%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-21 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 10:08 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 10:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -1.66%E -1.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.30%E -1.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 02:13 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.93%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -5.68%E -2.20%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 02:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -2.30%E -1.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -6.05%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.78%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.03%E -0.661%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.87%E -3.12%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -2.93%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.87%E -3.12%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.30%E -1.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.61%E -3.44%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.93%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.61%E -3.44%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.93%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.61%E -3.44%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.44%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.64%EV -13.72%E -10.09%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.36%EV -12.99%E -5.46%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | -0.1% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 02:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.20% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 13:21 |