Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Natalia Silva v Wang Cong

2026-10-04 04:30 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Natalia Silva (Local)

Prediction 64.37%1.55fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -6.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.31%64.44%65.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.481.491.5073.53%67.73%67.11%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wang Cong (Visit)

Prediction 35.63%2.81fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.731%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.82%35.69%35.56%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.632.632.7742.02%37.96%38.02%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Natalia Silva (Local): 64.37%; Wang Cong (Visit): 35.63%. For Wang Cong (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.77, with an expected value of -1.29%; they do not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -3.45%E -2.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -4.14%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 16:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.45%E -2.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-22 10:09
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.45%E -2.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 02:49
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.45%E -2.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.45%E -2.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 05:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.45%E -2.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 11:47
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.45%E -2.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 02:49
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.45%E -2.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 11:48
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 23:34
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 10:09
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 10:09
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 10:08
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 10:09
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 10:08
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.09%E -2.75%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 10:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -4.74%E -3.20%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -1.29%E -0.467%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-22 00:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.74%E -3.20%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 22:14
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.74%E -3.20%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -4.74%E -3.20%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -7.71%E -2.98%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 11:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.38%E -3.66%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 21:40
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.38%E -3.66%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.03%E -4.13%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 21:39
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.03%E -4.13%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 18:54
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.67%E -4.60%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.67%E -4.60%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 21:39
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.67%E -4.60%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 21:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.96%E -5.56%K -18.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -9.24%E -6.56%K -22.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 21:39
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.64%EV -12.46%E -9.16%K -34.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.36%EV -15.19%E -6.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-22 10:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%4.7%2026-09-25 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%4.7%2026-09-25 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%4.7%2026-09-25 11:15
ProphetX◎1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%5.4%2026-09-24 00:20
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%5.6%2026-09-26 01:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.85%6.5%2026-09-18 14:14