Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.38
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namsrai Batbayar (Local): 70.19%; Shuai Yin (Visit): 29.81%. For Namsrai Batbayar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.38, with an expected value of -3.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.13%E -2.27%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.13%E -0.964%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-29 12:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.13%E -2.27%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.09%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.24%E -3.88%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.13%E -0.964%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 10:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.76% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.42% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.83% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 12:29 |