Language:English
Namsrai Batbayar v Andre Lima
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Namsrai Batbayar (Local)
Prediction 30.20%3.31fair odd
EV -0.343%
Edge -0.104%
Kelly -0.149%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%30.32%29.98%31.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.123.103.3034.72%32.06%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andre Lima (Visit)
Prediction 69.80%1.43fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -5.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.54%69.68%70.02%70.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.361.4076.92%73.26%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namsrai Batbayar (Local): 30.20%; Andre Lima (Visit): 69.80%. For Namsrai Batbayar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.343%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.343%E -0.104%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -1.25%E -0.382%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.85%E -0.570%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 17:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.85%E -0.570%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 17:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.85%E -0.570%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.47%E -4.83%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 03:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -2.46%E -0.761%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 04:37 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 06:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 12:22 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.87%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.87%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.77%E -4.27%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 07:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.87%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.16%E -5.39%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 04:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.98%E -2.14%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 09:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 12:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 12:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 08:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 12:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 12:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 12:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 12:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 12:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 12:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -6.99%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -2.28%E -1.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -7.29%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.28%E -1.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.28%E -1.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.98%E -2.14%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 09:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 00:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.67%E -2.66%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 15:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.07%E -3.73%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -13.03%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.26%E -7.12%K -30.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 12:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.69% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.31% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.13% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.02% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85% | 8.1% | 2026-08-25 10:39 |