The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Namo Fazil v Kaik Brito

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 00:59 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Namo Fazil (Local)

Prediction 61.50%1.63fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.99%61.63%61.50%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.5967.11%65.19%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kaik Brito (Visit)

Prediction 38.50%2.60fair odd
EV +0.098%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.061%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.37%38.50%39.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.512.522.6042.92%39.81%39.60%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namo Fazil (Local): 61.50%; Kaik Brito (Visit): 38.50%. For Kaik Brito (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.597. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.098%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.098%E +0.038%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 00:54
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.83%E -0.716%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 00:49
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.83%E -0.716%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.13%E -4.72%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.83%E -0.716%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 18:29
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.13%E -4.72%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.83%E -0.716%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:57
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.21%E -1.39%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 00:54
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.99%EV -8.36%E -5.61%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.01%EV -10.30%E -4.42%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-18 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-19 00:49
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-19 00:55
ProphetX◎1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%6.6%2026-08-19 00:55