Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Muslim Tulshaev v Kacper Koziorzębski

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Muslim Tulshaev (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -69.44%
Kelly -227.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%0.00%0.00%66.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.411.401.4471.43%70.75%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kacper Koziorzębski (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -34.36%
Kelly -52.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.10%0.00%0.00%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.802.752.9136.36%35.67%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Muslim Tulshaev (Local): 0.00%; Kacper Koziorzębski (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%3.8%2026-09-19 15:06
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-09-17 14:25
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-09-17 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.