Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Moein Ahmadi v Mattias Henriksson

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Moein Ahmadi (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -85.47%
Kelly -588.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.72%0.00%0.00%79.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.171.171.1785.47%85.47%85.47%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mattias Henriksson (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -21.74%
Kelly -27.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%0.00%0.00%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.604.604.6021.74%21.74%21.74%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Moein Ahmadi (Local): 0.00%; Mattias Henriksson (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%7.2%2026-05-02 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%7.2%2026-05-02 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%7.2%2026-05-02 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%7.2%2026-05-02 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.