Language:English
Miles Johns v Jessie Rosas
Head to Head
Miles Johns (Local)
Prediction 58.44%1.71fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.78%58.48%58.41%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.6964.52%61.49%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessie Rosas (Visit)
Prediction 41.56%2.41fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%41.52%41.59%43.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.3545.45%43.63%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miles Johns (Local): 58.44%; Jessie Rosas (Visit): 41.56%. For Miles Johns (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.69, with an expected value of -1.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -1.24%E -0.735%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -7.73%E -3.48%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -1.83%E -1.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -6.07%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.41%E -1.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.58%E -2.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.16%E -1.35%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.58%E -2.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.58%E -2.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.58%E -2.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 05:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.58%E -2.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 09:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.16%E -2.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| Betsson | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.16%E -2.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.16%E -2.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.75%E -2.91%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 05:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.75%E -2.91%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 05:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.75%E -2.91%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 05:34 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.33%E -3.29%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.33%E -0.989%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.33%E -3.29%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.33%E -3.29%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 05:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.33%E -3.29%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.16%E -1.35%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 05:34 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 05:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 05:40 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 05:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -7.09%E -4.46%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.42%E -6.08%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 0.1% | 2026-08-04 21:24 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.32% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.83% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 05:35 |