Language:English
Mike Malott v Gilbert Burns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mike Malott (Local)
Prediction 70.08%1.43fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%70.03%70.02%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.44%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gilbert Burns (Visit)
Prediction 29.92%3.34fair odd
EV +4.71%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%29.97%29.98%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.153.103.5034.72%31.71%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mike Malott (Local): 70.08%; Gilbert Burns (Visit): 29.92%. For Gilbert Burns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.71%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +4.71%E +1.34%K +1.88%G +0.089% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +1.72%E +0.505%K +0.715%G +0.012% | 2.9% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.28%E -0.387%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 01:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.28%E -0.387%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -1.58%E -0.479%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.77%E -0.853%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 01:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.77%E -0.853%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.77%E -0.853%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.77%E -0.853%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.77%E -0.853%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.77%E -0.853%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 19:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.99%E -2.91%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.09%E -4.54%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.09%E -4.54%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.76%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 01:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.58%E -1.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 02:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.99%E -2.91%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.99%E -2.91%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.99%E -2.91%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 17:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.13%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV -7.56%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 01:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.93%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.07%EV -8.16%E -2.66%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 01:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.88%E -1.34%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.88%E -1.34%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.88%E -1.34%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.84%E -4.81%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 01:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.88%E -1.34%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.84%E -4.81%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 01:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.89% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 30.11% | 0.1% | 2026-04-19 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.74% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 29.26% | 1.7% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.80% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.33% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:59 |