Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michal Michalski v Radoslaw Paczuski

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 17:00 UTC

Final: Michal Michalski 1–0 Radoslaw Paczuski

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Michal Michalski (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -54.35%
Kelly -119.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.33%0.00%0.00%52.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.791.761.8456.82%55.97%56.82%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Radoslaw Paczuski (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -49.50%
Kelly -98.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.18%0.00%0.00%47.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.961.981.972.0251.02%50.42%50.76%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michal Michalski (Local): 0.00%; Radoslaw Paczuski (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%3.9%2026-09-19 14:02
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%7.6%2026-09-18 09:05
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%7.8%2026-09-18 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.