The School of Odds
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Mesud Selimovic v Iliass Hammouche

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Mesud Selimovic (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -43.48%
Kelly -76.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%0.00%0.00%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.302.302.3043.48%43.48%43.48%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iliass Hammouche (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -64.52%
Kelly -181.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%0.00%0.00%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.551.551.5564.52%64.52%64.52%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mesud Selimovic (Local): 0.00%; Iliass Hammouche (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%8.0%2026-06-13 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%8.0%2026-06-13 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%8.0%2026-06-13 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.