Merab Dvalishvili v Petr Yan

2027-01-01 03:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

39%

61%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Merab Dvalishvili (Local)

Prediction 38.57%2.59fair odd

EV -3.56%

Edge -1.43%

Kelly -2.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.57%38.57%38.57%38.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.502.502.502.5040.00%40.00%40.00%40.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Petr Yan (Visit)

Prediction 61.43%1.63fair odd

EV -3.56%

Edge -2.27%

Kelly -6.25%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.43%61.43%61.43%61.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.571.571.571.5763.69%63.69%63.69%63.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-06 22:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.70%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.94%	70.00I 1.43%NM 1.36%	5.2%	2026-07-06 22:50