Merab Dvalishvili v Henry Cejudo

2026-07-11 16:00 — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

38%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Merab Dvalishvili (Local)

Prediction 37.50%2.67fair odd

EV -6.25%

Edge -2.50%

Kelly -4.17%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.50%37.50%37.50%37.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.502.502.502.50MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

37.50%2.667Min

37.50%2.667Max

37.50%2.667Mean

37.50%2.667Median

37.50%2.667IQM

37.50%2.667Margin-weighted

Henry Cejudo (Visit)

Prediction 62.50%1.60fair odd

EV -6.25%

Edge -4.17%

Kelly -12.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.50%62.50%62.50%62.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.501.501.501.50MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

62.50%1.600Min

62.50%1.600Max

62.50%1.600Mean

62.50%1.600Median

62.50%1.600IQM

62.50%1.600Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Merab Dvalishvili (Local) ▼	Henry Cejudo (Visit)	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -6.25% E -2.50% K -4.17% G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -6.25% E -4.17% K -12.50% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-09 01:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth