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Merab Dvalishvili v Henry Cejudo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Merab Dvalishvili (Local)
Prediction 31.77%3.15fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.77%31.77%31.77%31.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.053.053.0532.79%32.79%32.79%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Henry Cejudo (Visit)
Prediction 68.23%1.47fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -7.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.23%68.23%68.23%68.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.421.421.4270.42%70.42%70.42%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.11%E -2.19%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.