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Melissa Croden v Chelsea Chandler

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 21:40 UTC

Final: Melissa Croden 0–1 Chelsea Chandler

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Melissa Croden (Local)

Prediction 75.59%1.32fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -8.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.22%75.41%76.05%77.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.261.271.2984.75%79.17%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chelsea Chandler (Visit)

Prediction 24.41%4.10fair odd
EV +4.97%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.075%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.24%24.59%23.95%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.773.654.3030.77%26.51%27.40%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Melissa Croden (Local): 75.59%; Chelsea Chandler (Visit): 24.41%. For Chelsea Chandler (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.97%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -7.03%E -5.71%K -30.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +4.97%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.075%4.6%2026-10-17 21:38
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.52%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.53%E +0.603%K +0.791%G +0.020%3.8%2026-10-17 21:30
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57%EV -4.00%E -3.15%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV +1.31%E +0.316%K +0.416%G +0.005%2.8%2026-10-17 21:34
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.00%E -3.15%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +0.091%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-17 21:20
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.52%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.091%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 21:33
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.27%E -5.06%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.091%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 21:30
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.27%E -5.06%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.091%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 21:30
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -5.52%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -0.885%E -0.218%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 21:39
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.76%E -3.78%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 21:25
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.76%E -3.78%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.52%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 21:09
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.79%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 21:10
BetAnything🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.03%E -5.71%K -30.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.23%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 21:39
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.49%E -1.93%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.45%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 14:35
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.89%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.89%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 08:10
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.89%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 08:10
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.89%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 08:10
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.89%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 08:09
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.89%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 08:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.89%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.89%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 08:10
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.89%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 03:55
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.00%E -3.15%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -10.89%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 17:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.49%E -1.93%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 08:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.00%E -3.15%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.52%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.52%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 21:09
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.49%E -1.93%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -17.00%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 21:35
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 73.66%EV -10.81%E -9.16%K -60.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -19.44%E -5.89%K -8.45%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-17 08:09
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -5.52%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -20.66%E -6.36%K -9.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.49%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.51%0.0%2026-10-17 21:34
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-10-17 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-10-17 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-10-17 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-10-17 21:35
Polymarket◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-17 20:55
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-17 21:30
Novig◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.76%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.24%1.0%2026-10-17 21:35
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-10-17 21:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.18%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84%8.5%2026-10-17 08:24