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Mehemmedeli Osmanli v Ilimbek Akylbek

2026-09-26 22:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Local)

Prediction 70.58%1.42fair odd
EV -0.489%
Edge -0.347%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.90%70.14%70.56%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.341.341.4180.65%74.38%74.63%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ilimbek Akylbek (Visit)

Prediction 29.42%3.40fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.607%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.86%29.44%33.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.183.253.3535.09%31.45%30.77%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Local): 70.58%; Ilimbek Akylbek (Visit): 29.42%. For Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.41, with an expected value of -0.489%; they do not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -0.489%E -0.347%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -16.14%E -5.66%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 06:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.19%E -0.853%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -16.14%E -5.66%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 06:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.02%E -2.95%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 06:04
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.02%E -2.95%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.08%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 06:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.02%E -2.95%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 06:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.02%E -2.95%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 06:09
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.02%E -2.95%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 06:04
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.43%E -4.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.43%E -0.426%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 06:08
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.43%E -4.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 06:04
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.43%E -4.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 06:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.43%E -4.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 06:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.43%E -4.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 06:04
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.43%E -4.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 06:04
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.43%E -4.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 06:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.43%E -4.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 06:05
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.43%E -4.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.37%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 06:09
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.43%E -4.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 06:05
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.13%E -4.61%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 06:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.55%E -5.76%K -24.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 06:04
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.05%EV -12.49%E -10.07%K -52.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.95%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-20 06:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 52.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 47.90%40.1%2026-09-20 07:19

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.34%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84%8.4%2026-09-20 07:10