Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Max Holzer v Khalid Taha

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Max Holzer (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -81.30%
Kelly -434.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.79%0.00%0.00%75.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.231.231.2381.30%81.30%81.30%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Khalid Taha (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -25.97%
Kelly -35.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%0.00%0.00%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.853.853.853.8525.97%25.97%25.97%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Max Holzer (Local): 0.00%; Khalid Taha (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%7.3%2026-05-16 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%7.3%2026-05-16 15:15
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%7.3%2026-05-16 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.