Max Holloway v Paddy Pimblett

2027-01-01 03:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

62%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Max Holloway (Local)

Prediction 62.04%1.61fair odd

EV -3.21%

Edge -2.06%

Kelly -5.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.04%62.04%62.04%62.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.561.561.561.5664%64%64%64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Paddy Pimblett (Visit)

Prediction 37.96%2.63fair odd

EV -3.21%

Edge -1.26%

Kelly -2.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.96%37.96%37.96%37.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.552.552.552.5539%39%39%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-07-12 18:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.