Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mauricio Ruffy v Arman Tsarukyan

2026-09-10 00:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

24%

76%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mauricio Ruffy (Local)

Prediction 24.47%4.09fair odd

EV -4.08%

Edge -1.04%

Kelly -1.40%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.47%24.47%24.47%24.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.923.923.923.9225.51%25.51%25.51%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arman Tsarukyan (Visit)

Prediction 75.53%1.32fair odd

EV -4.08%

Edge -3.21%

Kelly -15.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

75.53%75.53%75.53%75.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.271.271.271.2778.74%78.74%78.74%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mauricio Ruffy (Local): 24.47%; Arman Tsarukyan (Visit): 75.53%. For Mauricio Ruffy (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.92, with an expected value of -4.08%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.08%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-06 17:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.