Language:English
Marcin Tybura v Tyrell Fortune
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marcin Tybura (Local)
Prediction 44.44%2.25fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.805%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.44%44.47%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2148.78%46.83%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tyrell Fortune (Visit)
Prediction 55.56%1.80fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.56%55.53%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.721.721.7659.52%58.18%58.14%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marcin Tybura (Local): 44.44%; Tyrell Fortune (Visit): 55.56%. For Marcin Tybura (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -1.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -1.78%E -0.805%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-28 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.11%E -1.43%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.00%E -2.92%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-25 18:12 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.56%E -1.64%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 12:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.56%E -1.64%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 12:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.56%E -1.64%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 05:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.00%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.33%E -1.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.33%E -1.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.67%E -3.97%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.89%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.33%E -1.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.89%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.33%E -1.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 13:36 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.67%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.67%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 13:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.67%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.33%E -1.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.67%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 19:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.67%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.67%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.67%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.67%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.00%E -2.92%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 19:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.67%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.00%E -2.92%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -8.00%E -3.87%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.22%E -1.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 20:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -8.00%E -3.87%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.22%E -1.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 20:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 01:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.33%E -1.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 20:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51% | -0.0% | 2026-03-28 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 0.2% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 0.2% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 0.2% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.27% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 11:19 |